Results of the 2004 Canadian federal election by riding

This is a seat by seat list of candidates in the 2004 Canadian election.

For more information about the election see 2004 Canadian federal election.

2004 federal redistribution

Due to the 2001 census, Canada's 301 electoral districts increased to 308 as of April 1, 2004. Boundary changes took effect across the country to even out population redistribution, and seven new districts were formed. Each province has a minimum number of seats, and therefore it is rare for a province to lose seats in a redistribution. The numbers beside the region names correspond to the map below.

{| border="1" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="0" style="border-collapse: collapse"

|- bgcolor="CCCCCC"

!align="center" colspan=2 rowspan=2|Province

!align="center" colspan=4|Seats

!align="center" rowspan=2|Avg. Population per Seat

|- bgcolor="CCCCCC"

!align="center"|Total

!align="center"|Created

!align="center"|Eliminated

!align="center"|Change

|colspan=2|1. Newfoundland and Labrador

|align="right"|7

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|-

|align="right"|73 276

|colspan=2|2. Nova Scotia

|align="right"|11

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|-

|align="right"|82 546

|colspan=2|3. Prince Edward Island

|align="right"|4

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|-

|align="right"|33 824

|colspan=2|4. New Brunswick

|align="right"|10

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|-

|align="right"|72 950

|colspan=2|Quebec

|align="right"|75

|align="right"|4

|align="right"|4

|align="right"|-

|align="right"|96 500

|rowspan=10|  

|5. Eastern

|align="right"|5

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|1

|align="right"|-1

|rowspan=10| 

|6. Côte-Nord & Saguenay

|align="right"|5

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|2

|align="right"|-2

|7. Quebec City

|align="right"|5

|align="right"|1

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|+1

|8. Central

|align="right"|9

|align="right"|1

|align="right"|1

|align="right"|-

|9. Eastern Townships

|align="right"|9

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|-

|10. Montérégie

|align="right"|10

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|-

|11. Northern Montreal & Laval

|align="right"|8

|align="right"|1

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|+1

|12. Eastern Montreal

|align="right"|5

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|-

|13. Western Montreal

|align="right"|9

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|-

|14. Laurentides, Outaouais & North

|align="right"|10

|align="right"|1

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|+1

|colspan=2|Ontario

|align="right"|106

|align="right"|8

|align="right"|5

|align="right"|+3

|align="right"|107 642

|rowspan=11|  

|15. Ottawa

|align="right"|7

|align="right"|1

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|+1

|rowspan=11| 

|16. Eastern

|align="right"|7

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|1

|align="right"|-1

|17. Central

|align="right"|11

|align="right"|1

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|+1

|18. Southern Durham & York

|align="right"|9

|align="right"|2

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|+2

|19. Suburban Toronto

|align="right"|12

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|-

|20. Central Toronto

|align="right"|10

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|-

|21. Brampton, Mississauga & Oakville

|align="right"|9

|align="right"|2

|align="right"|1

|align="right"|+1

|22. Hamilton, Burlington & Niagara

|align="right"|10

|align="right"|1

|align="right"|2

|align="right"|-1

|23. Midwestern

|align="right"|11

|align="right"|1

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|+1

|24. Southwestern

|align="right"|10

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|-

|25. Northern

|align="right"|10

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|1

|align="right"|-1

|colspan=2|Manitoba

|align="right"|14

|align="right"|1

|align="right"|1

|align="right"|-

|align="right"|79 970

|rowspan=2|  

|26. Rural

|align="right"|6

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|-

|rowspan=2| 

|27. Winnipeg

|align="right"|8

|align="right"|1

|align="right"|1

|align="right"|-

|colspan=2|Saskatchewan

|align="right"|14

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|-

|align="right"|69 924

|rowspan=2|  

|28. Northern

|align="right"|7

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|-

|rowspan=2| 

|29. Southern

|align="right"|7

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|-

|colspan=2|Alberta

|align="right"|28

|align="right"|3

|align="right"|1

|align="right"|+2

|align="right"|106 243

|rowspan=3|  

|30. Rural

|align="right"|12

|align="right"|1

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|+1

|rowspan=3| 

|31. Edmonton & environs

|align="right"|8

|align="right"|1

|align="right"|1

|align="right"|-

|32. Calgary

|align="right"|8

|align="right"|1

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|+1

|colspan=2|British Columbia

|align="right"|36

|align="right"|3

|align="right"|1

|align="right"|+2

|align="right"|108 548

|rowspan=4|  

|33. Interior

|align="right"|9

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|1

|align="right"|-1

|rowspan=4| 

|34. Fraser Valley & S. Lower Mainland

|align="right"|10

|align="right"|2

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|+2

|35. Vancouver & N. Lower Mainland

|align="right"|11

|align="right"|1

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|+1

|36. Vancouver Island

|align="right"|6

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|-

|colspan=2|37. Nunavut

|align="right"|1

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|-

|align="right"|26 745

|colspan=2|37. Northwest Territories

|align="right"|1

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|-

|align="right"|37 360

|colspan=2|37. Yukon

|align="right"|1

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|0

|align="right"|-

|align="right"|28 675

610px

Candidates and ridings

thumb|right|schematic seat-by-seat results

All candidate names are those on the official list of confirmed candidates; names in media or on party website may differ slightly.

Names in bold represent party leaders and cabinet ministers.

† represents that the incumbent chose not to run again.

§ represents that the incumbent was defeated for nomination.

‡ represents that the incumbent ran in a different district.

@ represents that the candidate was automatically granted the nomination by party leader.

Nominations closed on June 7, 2004. Elections Canada released a final candidate list on June 9.

Party key and abbreviations guide

{| border="1" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="0" style="border-collapse: collapse"

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|Green Party

| rowspan="6" bgcolor="whitesmoke" valign="top" |

(Ind.) - Independent
Minor Parties:
(CAP) - Canadian Action Party
(CHP) - Christian Heritage Party
(Comm.) - Communist Party
(Libert.) - Libertarian Party
(Mar.) - Marijuana Party
(M-L) - Marxist–Leninist Party
(PC) - Progressive Canadian Party

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|New Democratic Party

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|Bloc Québécois

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|Liberal Party

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|Conservative Party

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=top|•

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|Independent/Other

Newfoundland and Labrador

Prince Edward Island

Nova Scotia

New Brunswick

Quebec

left|150px|Quebec flag

Throughout most of recent history, the Liberals have dominated in federal politics in Quebec, even when Quebec voters were simultaneously electing the Parti Québécois at the provincial level.

There have been temporary Progressive Conservative breakthroughs under Diefenbaker in the 1958 election, and under native son Brian Mulroney in the 1984 election and the 1988 election, but these did not last. The 1958 result was helped by an alliance with Maurice Duplessis's formidable provincial electoral machine. But by the 1962 election, Duplessis had died and his Union Nationale party was out of office and in disarray, and Diefenbaker's support in Quebec had evaporated. The Mulroney-era resurgence also collapsed entirely when he retired from politics.

The Bloc Québécois was formed for the 1993 election in the aftermath of the failure of the Meech Lake Accord and Charlottetown Accord, and has won more seats in Quebec than the Liberals in every election it has run in. The number of seats won by the Bloc has declined in each successive election from 1993 to 1997 to 2000. The party has now had a resurgence due to the sponsorship scandal and the unpopularity of Jean Charest's provincial Liberal government, which influences support for the federal Liberals even though the two parties are independent of one another.

Polls show the Bloc with a strong lead, and they may return to the number of seats they had in 1993. However, the Liberals are likely to dominate in many parts of Montreal. Ridings where Anglophone voters are a significant factor are among the safest Liberal seats in all of Canada.

The other two major federal parties, the Conservatives and the New Democratic Party (NDP) are not expected to win any seats and are struggling to move out of single digits in the polls. The NDP in particular has historically never had any electoral success in Quebec up to that point.

Eastern Quebec

Côte-Nord and Saguenay

Quebec City

Central Quebec

Eastern Townships

Montérégie

Eastern Montreal

Western Montreal

Northern Montreal and Laval

Laurentides, Outaouais and Northern Quebec

Ontario

150px|left Ontario was predicted to be the battle ground of this election. Most pundits believed that this is where the election was lost for the Conservatives. Ontario is home to more than one third of all of Canada's ridings. In the last three elections, right wing vote splitting has resulted in just six riding losses for the Liberals, compared to 299 riding wins. However, the Canadian Alliance and the Progressive Conservatives have merged, and they should win many seats in Ontario, especially in rural ridings in midwestern Ontario, Central-eastern Ontario, and Central Ontario. The NDP has some support in various pockets in Ontario in the past, but has only won one riding in the last three elections, and one more in a by-election, both in Windsor. However, the NDP was expected to do well not only in Windsor, but in Hamilton, Downtown Toronto, Ottawa Centre, and possibly even in Northern Ontario.

Ottawa

Eastern Ontario

Central Ontario

Southern Durham and York

{| border="1" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="0" style="border-collapse: collapse"

|- bgcolor=gray

!width=80%|Profile & Notes

!colspan=2|Electoral History

|bgcolor=whitesmoke rowspan=8 valign=top|This sprawling and rapidly growing suburban area to the north and east of the City of Toronto encompasses the eastern portion of what Canadian political watchers in the early nineties dubbed the "905 belt"—a swath of middle class suburban voters roughly corresponding to the same boundaries of the 905 Area Code that can be readily tipped from the Liberal to the Conservative column. 905's buy-in on the provincial level to Mike Harris's Common Sense Revolution secured him two conservative majority governments, while its rejection of the Tories in 2002 paved the way for Dalton McGuinty's landslide. 905 solidly supported the Chrétien Liberals, but Conservatives hope that the absence of vote-splitting and rising national fortunes can lead to substantial pickups on election night.

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center width=5%|2004

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|2000

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1997

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1993

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1988

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1984

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1980

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1979

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Ajax—Pickering

|Mark Holland 21,706 49.77%

|René Soetens 14,666 33.63%

|Kevin Modeste 5,286 12.12%

|Karen MacDonald 1,951 4.47%

| colspan=2 align="center"|new district

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Markham—Unionville

|John McCallum 30,442 66.31%

|Joe Li 10,325 22.49%

|Janice Hagan 3,993 8.70%

|Ed Wong 1,148 2.50%

|John McCallum

|rowspan=2 bgcolor=whitesmoke|Oak Ridges—Markham

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Lui Temelkovski 31,964 51.73%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Bob Callow 20,712 33.52%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Pamela Courtot 5,430 8.79%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Bernadette Manning 2,406 3.89%

|Jim Conrad (PC) 820 1.33%

|rowspan=2 colspan=2 align="center"|new district

|Maurice G Whittle (CHP) 458 0.74%

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Oshawa

|Louise V. Parkes 14,510 30.47%

|Colin Carrie 15,815 33.21%

|Sid Ryan 15,352 32.24%

|Liisa Whalley 1,850 3.89%

|Tim Sullivan (M-L) 91 0.19%

|Ivan Grose§

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Pickering—Scarborough East

|Dan McTeague 27,312 56.98%

|Tim Dobson 13,417 27.99%

|Gary Dale 5,392 11.25%

|Matthew Pollesel 1,809 3.77%

|Dan McTeague

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Richmond Hill

|Bryon Wilfert 27,102 58.48%

|Pete Merrifield 11,530 24.88%

|C. Nella Cotrupi 4,495 9.70%

|Tim Rudkins 2,144 4.63%

|Ellena Lam (PC) 1,074 2.32%

|Bryon Wilfert

|rowspan=2 bgcolor=whitesmoke|Thornhill

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Susan Kadis 28,709 54.58%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Josh Cooper 18,125 34.46%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Rick Morelli 3,671 6.98%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Lloyd Helferty 1,622 3.08%

|Benjamin Fitzerman (Ind.) 241 0.46%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Elinor Caplan†

|Simion Iron (Ind.) 233 0.44%

|rowspan=2 bgcolor=whitesmoke|Vaughan

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Maurizio Bevilacqua 31,430 62.96%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Joe Spina 11,821 23.68%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Octavia Beckles 4,371 8.76%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Russell Korus 1,722 3.45%

|Walter Aolari (CAP) 192 0.38%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Maurizio Bevilacqua

|Paolo Fabrizio (Libert.) 388 0.78%

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Whitby—Oshawa

|Judi Longfield 25,649 45.04%

|Ian MacNeil 20,531 36.06%

|Maret Sadem-Thompson 8,002 14.05%

|Michael MacDonald 2,759 4.85%

|Judi Longfield

Central Toronto

{| border="1" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="0" style="border-collapse: collapse"

|- bgcolor=gray

!width=80%|Profile & Notes

!colspan=2|Electoral History

|bgcolor=whitesmoke rowspan=8 valign=top|Since 1993, Central Toronto has been a bastion of Liberal support. It is far more competitive in the 2004 election, however, largely because new NDP leader Jack Layton is a former Toronto city councillor who has reoriented the NDP towards drawing support in the urban centres. Most of the ridings are remain safe Liberal seats, with only four or five seats vulnerable to the New Democrats and Conservatives.

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|••••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center width=5%|2004

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|••••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|2000

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|••••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1997

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|••••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1993

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|••••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1988

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•••••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1984

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•••••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1980

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•••••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1979

|rowspan=2 bgcolor=whitesmoke|Beaches—East York

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Maria Minna 22,494 47.93%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Nick Nikopoulos 6,603 14.07%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Peter Tabuns 15,156 32.29%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Peter Davison 2,127 4.53%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Daniel Dufresne 365 0.78%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Roger Carter 46 0.10%

|Miguel Figueroa (Comm.) 62 0.13%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Maria Minna

|Edward Slota (Ind.) 80 0.17%

|rowspan=2 bgcolor=whitesmoke|Davenport

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Mario Silva 16,773 50.69%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Theresa Rodrigues 3,077 9.30%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Rui Pires 11,292 34.13%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Mark O'Brien 1,384 4.18%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Elmer Gale 251 0.76%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Sarah Thompson 79 0.24%

|Johan Boyden (Comm.) 137 0.41%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Charles Caccia†

|John Riddell (CAP) 97 0.29%

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Don Valley West

|John Godfrey 30,615 59.79%

|David Turnbull 14,495 28.31%

|David Thomas 4,393 8.58%

|Serge Abbat 1,703 3.33%

|John Godfrey

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Eglinton—Lawrence

|Joseph Volpe 28,360 60.24%

|Bernie Tanz 11,792 25.05%

|Max Silverman 4,886 10.38%

|Shel Goldstein 1,924 4.09%

|Corrinne Prévost (CAP) 115 0.24%

|Joe Volpe

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Parkdale—High Park

|Sarmite (Sam) Bulte 19,727 42.05%

|Jurij Klufas 7,221 15.39%

|Peggy Nash 16,201 34.53%

|Neil Spiegel 3,249 6.93%

|Terry Parker 384 0.82%

|Lorne Gershuny 130 0.28%

|Sarmite Bulte

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|St. Paul's

|Carolyn Bennett 32,171 58.39%

|Barry Cline 11,226 20.38%

|Norman Tobias 8,667 15.73%

|Peter Elgie 3,031 5.50%

|Carolyn Bennett

|rowspan=2 bgcolor=whitesmoke|Toronto Centre

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Bill Graham 30,336 56.53%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Megan Harris 7,936 14.79%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Michael Shapcott 12,747 23.75%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Gabriel Draven 2,097 3.91%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Jay Wagner 313 0.58%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Philip Fernandez 65 0.12%

|Dan Goldstick (Comm.) 106 0.20%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Bill Graham

|Kevin Peck (CAP) 63 0.12%

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Toronto—Danforth

|Dennis Mills 19,803 41.34%

|Loftus Cuddy 2,975 6.21%

|Jack Layton 22,198 46.34%

|Jim Harris 2,575 5.38%

|Scott Yee 265 0.55%

|Marcell Rodden 84 0.18%

|Dennis Mills

|rowspan=3 bgcolor=whitesmoke|Trinity—Spadina

|rowspan=3 |

|rowspan=3 |Tony Ianno 23,202 43.55%

|rowspan=3 |

|rowspan=3 |David Watters 4,605 8.64%

|rowspan=3 |

|rowspan=3 |Olivia Chow 22,397 42.04%

|rowspan=3 |

|rowspan=3 |Mark Viitala 2,259 4.24%

|rowspan=3 |

|rowspan=3 |Nick Lin 102 0.19%

|Tristan Alexander Downe-Dewdney (CAP) 91 0.17%

|rowspan=3 |

|rowspan=3 |Tony Ianno

|Asif Hossain (PC) 531 1.00%

|Daniel Knezetic (NA) 89 0.17%

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|York South—Weston

|Alan Tonks 20,537 59.83%

|Stephen Halicki 5,133 14.95%

|Paul Ferreira 7,281 21.21%

|Jessica Fracassi 1,199 3.49%

|Shirley Hawley (Comm.) 175 0.51%

|Alan Tonks

Suburban Toronto

Brampton, Mississauga and Oakville

{| border="1" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="0" style="border-collapse: collapse"

|- bgcolor=gray

!width=80%|Profile & Notes

!colspan=2|Electoral History

|bgcolor=whitesmoke rowspan=8 valign=top|This area is part of the rapidly growing 905 belt, where the Conservatives are hoping for a breakthrough, as it is a traditionally Conservative area. Until their collapse in 1993, the Conservatives only lost two ridings in this area between 1979 and 1988. In the riding of Brampton-Springdale, the Liberal riding association is campaigning for the NDP, to protest Paul Martin's appointment of candidate Ruby Dhalla. The original candidate was known to be a supporter of John Manley in last year's Liberal leadership race. Running against incumbent Colleen Beaumier in Brampton West is former Ontario cabinet minister and federal Conservative leadership candidate Tony Clement.

Notes:

1 Hundal replaced previous Conservative candidate Gurjit Grewal after a past conviction for assault came to light.

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center width=5%|2004

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|2000

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1997

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1993

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1988

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1984

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1980

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1979

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Bramalea—Gore—Malton

|Gurbax S. Malhi 20,394 49.54%

|Raminder Gill 12,594 30.59%

|Fernando Miranda 6,113 14.85%

|Sharleen McDowall 1,832 4.45%

|Frank Chilelli (M-L) 237 0.58%

|Gurbax S. Malhi

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Brampton—Springdale

|Ruby Dhalla@ 19,385 47.73%

|Sam Hundal1 11,182 27.53%

|Kathy Pounder 8,038 19.79%

|Nick Hudson 1,927 4.74%

|Gurdev Singh Mattu (Comm.) 86 0.21%

|Sarkis Assadourian†

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Brampton West

|Colleen Beaumier 21,254 45.30%

|Tony Clement 18,768 40.00%

|Chris Moise 4,920 10.49%

|Sanjeev Goel 1,603 3.42%

|Tom Bose (Ind.) 371 0.79%

|Colleen Beaumier

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Mississauga—Brampton South

|Navdeep Bains 24,753 57.16%

|Parvinder Sandhu 10,433 24.09%

|Larry Taylor 6,411 14.80%

|Paul Simas 1,525 3.52%

|David Gershuny (M-L) 185 0.43%

|colspan=2 align="center"|new district

|rowspan=3 bgcolor=whitesmoke|Mississauga East—Cooksville

|rowspan=3 |

|rowspan=3 |Albina Guarnieri 22,435 56.70%

|rowspan=3 |

|rowspan=3 |Riina DeFaria 10,299 26.03%

|rowspan=3 |

|rowspan=3 |Jim Gill 4,619 11.67%

|rowspan=3 |

|rowspan=3 |Jason Robert Hinchliffe 1,167 2.95%

|Pierre Chénier (M-L) 154 0.39%

|rowspan=3 |

|rowspan=3 |Albina Guarnieri

|Andrew Seitz (Ind.) 114 0.29%

|Sally Wong (CHP) 778 1.97%

|rowspan=3 bgcolor=whitesmoke|Mississauga—Erindale

|rowspan=3 |

|rowspan=3|Carolyn Parrish 28,246 54.37%

|rowspan=3|

|rowspan=3|Bob Dechert 16,600 31.95%

|rowspan=3|

|rowspan=3|Simon Black 5,104 9.82%

|rowspan=3|

|rowspan=3|Jeff Brownridge 1,855 3.57%

|rowspan=3|

|rowspan=3|David Greig (M-L) 145 0.28%

|Carolyn Parrish

|colspan=2 align="center"|merged district

|Steve Mahoney§

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Mississauga South

|Paul John Mark Szabo 24,628 51.67%

|Phil Green 16,027 33.62%

|Michael James Culkin 5,004 10.50%

|Neeraj Jain 1,899 3.98%

|Dagmar Sullivan (M-L) 107 0.22%

|Paul Szabo

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Mississauga—Streetsville

|Wajid Khan 22,768 50.56%

|Nina Tangri 14,287 31.73%

|Manjinder Rai 4,266 9.47%

|Otto Casanova 2,415 5.36%

|Peter Gibson Creighton (PC) 1,293 2.87%

|colspan=2 align="center"|new district

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Oakville

|M.A. Bonnie Brown 28,729 52.01%

|Rick Byers 19,524 35.35%

|Alison Myrden 4,027 7.29%

|Tania Orton 2,861 5.18%

|Zeshan Shahbaz (CAP) 95 0.17%

|Bonnie Brown

Hamilton, Burlington and Niagara

{| border="1" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="0" style="border-collapse: collapse"

|- bgcolor=gray

!width=80%|Profile & Notes

!colspan=2|Electoral History

|bgcolor=whitesmoke rowspan=8 valign=top|This region has been traditionally Conservative, however the Liberal Party swept the region, along with most of the rest in Ontario, in the last three elections. However, most Liberal victories outside Hamilton proper can be attributed to vote-splitting between the two right-wing parties. Now that they have merged, the Conservatives are targeting several ridings in the area in this election. In Hamilton, the New Democrats is looking for major gains as well. They held the seat of Hamilton Mountain twice. Traditionally, Liberal support has been concentrated in Niagara Falls, Welland and in Hamilton. The Liberal membership in at least one Hamilton riding is heavily divided, with disgruntled former MP Sheila Copps rumoured to be running for the NDP or as an independent before she announced she was quitting politics.

Notes:

1 - Bryden defected from Liberals in Feb. '04

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|••••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center width=5%|2004

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•••••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|2000

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•••••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1997

| bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•••••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1993

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•••••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1988

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1984

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•••••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1980

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•••••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1979

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Ancaster—Dundas—Flamborough—Westdale

|Russ Powers 21,935 39.69%

|David Sweet 19,135 34.63%

|Gordon Guyatt 11,557 20.91%

|David Januczkowski 2,636 4.77%

|John Bryden§1

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Burlington

|Paddy Torsney 27,423 44.96%

|Mike Wallace 23,389 38.35%

|David Carter Laird 6,581 10.79%

|Angela Reid 3,169 5.20%

|John Herman Wubs 429 0.70%

|Paddy Torsney

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Halton

|Gary Carr 27,362 48.35%

|Dean Martin 21,704 38.35%

|Anwar Naqvi 4,642 8.20%

|Frank Marchetti 2,889 5.10%

|Julian Reed†

|rowspan=2 bgcolor=whitesmoke|Hamilton Centre

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Stan Keyes 14,948 33.70%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Leon Patrick O'Connor 6,714 15.13%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |David Christopherson 20,321 45.81%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Anne Marie Pavlov 1,422 3.21%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Stephen Downey 520 1.17%

|Michael James Baldasaro (NA) 345 0.78%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Stan Keyes

|Jamilé Ghaddar (M-L) 91 0.21%

|rowspan=3 bgcolor=whitesmoke|Hamilton East—Stoney Creek

|rowspan=3 |

|rowspan=3|Tony Valeri 18,417 37.74%

|rowspan=3|

|rowspan=3|Fred Eisenberger 10,888 22.31%

|rowspan=3|

|rowspan=3|Tony DePaulo 17,490 35.84%

|rowspan=3|

|rowspan=3|Richard Safka 1,446 2.96%

|rowspan=3|

|rowspan=3|Sam Cino (Ind.) 393 0.81% ———— Bob Mann (Comm.) 166 0.34%

|Tony Valeri

|colspan=2 align="center"|merged district

|Sheila Copps§

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Hamilton Mountain

|Beth Phinney 18,548 34.81%

|Tom Jackson 15,590 29.26%

|Chris Charlton 17,552 32.94%

|Jo Pavlov 1,378 2.59%

|Paul Lane (M-L) 214 0.40%

|Beth Phinney

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Niagara Falls

|Victor Pietrangelo 18,745 36.48%

|Rob Nicholson 19,882 38.70%

|Wayne Gates 10,680 20.79%

|Ted Mousseau 2,071 4.03%

|Gary Pillitteri†

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Niagara West—Glanbrook

|Debbie Zimmerman 20,210 39.01%

|Dean Allison 20,874 40.29%

|Dave Heatley 7,681 14.82%

|Tom Ferguson 1,761 3.40%

|David Bylsma 1,107 2.14%

|Phil Rose (CAP) 179 0.35%

| colspan=2 align="center"|new district

|rowspan=2 bgcolor=whitesmoke|St. Catharines

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Walt Lastewka 21,277 40.44%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Leo Bonomi 18,261 34.71%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Ted Mouradian 10,135 19.26%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Jim Fannon 1,927 3.66%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Linda Klassen 751 1.43%

|Elaine Couto (M-L) 61 0.12%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Walt Lastewka

|Jane Elizabeth Paxton (CAP) 204 0.39%

|rowspan=3 bgcolor=whitesmoke|Welland

|rowspan=3 |

|rowspan=3|John Maloney 19,642 39.63%

|rowspan=3|

|rowspan=3|Mel Grunstein 12,997 26.22%

|rowspan=3|

|rowspan=3|Jody Di Bartolomeo 14,623 29.50%

|rowspan=3|

|rowspan=3|Ryan McLaughlin 1,454 2.93%

|rowspan=3|

|rowspan=3|Irma D. Ruiter 735 1.48%

|rowspan=3|

|rowspan=3|Ron Walker (M-L) 113 0.23%

|John Maloney

|colspan=2 align="center"|merged district

|Tony Tirabassi§

Midwestern Ontario

{| border="1" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="0" style="border-collapse: collapse"

|- bgcolor=gray

!width=80%|Profile & Notes

!colspan=2|Electoral History

|bgcolor=whitesmoke rowspan=8 valign=top|

This area is traditionally conservative, except for the riding of Brant which has not voted Conservative since 1958. Brant is where the NDP did will with popular MP Derek Blackburn from 1971 to 1993. However, the NDP have been unable to duplicate this success in this area, and are unlikely to do so. The Conservatives won every other seat except for three seats in 1979, 1980, 1984, and 1988 sweeping the area (except for Brant) in 1984 and 1979. The three seats that went Liberal were Guelph and Kitchener (1980) and Haldimand-Norfolk (1988). Since the collapse of the Conservatives, and vote splitting the Liberals swept this area in 1993, 1997 and 2000. However, with a united right, this is unlikely to be duplicated a fourth time.

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•••••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|2004

|colspan=1 bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|••••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|2000

|colspan=1 bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|••••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1997

|colspan=1 bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1993

|colspan=1 bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1988

|colspan=1 bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1984

|colspan=1 bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1980

|colspan=1 bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1979

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Brant

|Lloyd St. Amand 20,455 38.05%

|Greg Martin 17,792 33.10%

|Lynn Bowering 11,826 22.00%

|Helen-Anne Embry 2,738 5.09%

|Barra L. Gots 570 1.06%

|John C. Turmel (Ind.) 373 0.69%

|Jane Stewart†

|rowspan=2 bgcolor=whitesmoke|Cambridge

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Janko Peric 18,899 36.65%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Gary Goodyear 19,123 37.09%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Gary Price 10,392 20.15%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Gareth M. White 2,506 4.86%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |John G. Gots 395 0.77%

|Alex W. Gryc (Ind.) 114 0.22%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Janko Peric

|John Oprea (Ind.) 134 0.26%

|rowspan=2 bgcolor=whitesmoke|Guelph

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Brenda Chamberlain 23,442 44.61%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Jon Dearden 13,721 26.11%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Phil Allt 10,527 20.03%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Mike Nagy 3,866 7.36%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Peter Ellis 634 1.21%

|Manuel Couto (M-L) 66 0.13%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Brenda Chamberlain

|Lyne Rivard (Mar.) 291 0.55%

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Haldimand—Norfolk

|Bob Speller 19,336 38.84%

|Diane Finley 20,981 42.15%

|Carrie Sinkowski 7,143 14.35%

|Colin Jones 1,703 3.42%

|Steven Elgersma 617 1.24%

|Bob Speller

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Huron—Bruce

|Paul Steckle 25,538 49.79%

|Barb Fisher 15,930 31.06%

|Grant Robertson 6,707 13.08%

|Dave Vasey 1,518 2.96%

|Dave Joslin 958 1.87%

|Glen Smith (Mar.) 638 1.24%

|Paul Steckle

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Kitchener Centre

|Karen Redman 21,264 47.13%

|Thomas Ichim 12,412 27.51%

|Richard Walsh-Bowers 8,717 19.32%

|Karol Vesely 2,450 5.43%

|Mark Corbiere (Ind.) 277 0.61%

|Karen Redman

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Kitchener—Conestoga

|Lynn Myers 17,819 42.29%

|Frank Luellau 14,903 35.37%

|Len Carter 6,623 15.72%

|Kris Stapleton 2,793 6.63%

|Lynn Myers

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Kitchener—Waterloo

|Andrew Telegdi 28,015 48.12%

|Steve Strauss 17,155 29.47%

|Edwin Laryea 9,267 15.92%

|Pauline Richards 3,277 5.63%

|Frank Ellis 379 0.65%

|Ciprian Mihalcea (Ind.) 124 0.21%

|Andrew Telegdi

|rowspan=3 bgcolor=whitesmoke|Oxford

|rowspan=3 |

|rowspan=3 |Murray Coulter 14,011 30.52%

|rowspan=3 |

|rowspan=3 |Dave Mackenzie 20,606 44.89%

|rowspan=3 |

|rowspan=3 |Zoé Dorcas Kunschner 6,673 14.54%

|rowspan=3 |

|rowspan=3 |Irene Tietz 1,951 4.25%

|rowspan=3 |

|rowspan=3 |Leslie Bartley 1,534 3.34%

|James Bender (Mar.) 794 1.73%

|rowspan=3 |

|rowspan=3 |John Finlay†

|Alex Kreider (CAP) 108 0.24%

|Kaye Sargent (Libert.) 226 0.49%

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Perth Wellington

|Brian Innes 15,032 33.42%

|Gary Ralph Schellenberger 18,879 41.97%

|Robert Roth 7,027 15.62%

|John Cowling 2,770 6.16%

|Irma Nicolette Devries 1,273 2.83%

|Gary Schellenberger

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Wellington—Halton Hills

|Bruce Hood 19,173 38.21%

|Mike Chong 21,479 42.81%

|Noel Duignan 5,974 11.91%

|Brent Bouteiller 2,725 5.43%

|Pat Woode 826 1.65%

| colspan=2 align="center"|new district

Southwestern Ontario

{| border="1" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="0" style="border-collapse: collapse"

|- bgcolor=gray

!width=100%|Profile & Notes

!colspan=2|Electoral History

|bgcolor=whitesmoke rowspan=8 valign=top|

Southwestern Ontario is traditionally a very Liberal region of Ontario, but is divided between urban and rural. The Liberals do well in the cities of Windsor and London, and Conservatives do well in the rural areas of Kent County, Essex County, Lambton County, Elgin County, and Middlesex County. The NDP also has done well in the past, and currently in Windsor and London, where unions are strong. The NDP was elected in both Windsor-Walkerville and London-Fanshawe in 1984 and 1988, and hold both Windsor seats currently. The Liberas swept all but the riding of Elgin in 1980, the Conservatives swept all but the two Windsor ridings in 1984, and one London riding. The Liberals swept every single riding here in 1993 and 1997, and all but the riding of Windsor-St. Clair in 2000.

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|••••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|2004

|colspan=1 bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|••••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|2000

|colspan=1 bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|••••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1997

|colspan=1 bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•••••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1993

|colspan=1 bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•••••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1988

|colspan=1 bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•••••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1984

|colspan=1 bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•••••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1980

|colspan=1 bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•••••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1979

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Chatham-Kent—Essex

|Jerry Pickard 17,435 39.63%

|Dave Van Kesteren 17,028 38.70%

|Kathleen Kevany 7,538 17.13%

|Rod Hetherington 1,845 4.19%

|Margaret Mondaca 150 0.34%

|Jerry Pickard

|rowspan=2 bgcolor=whitesmoke|Elgin—Middlesex—London

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Gar Knutson 15,860 34.20%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Joe Preston 20,333 43.84%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Tim McCallum 6,763 14.58%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Julie-Ann Stodolny 2,033 4.38%

|rowspan=2 |

|Will Arlow (CAP) 146 0.31%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Gar Knutson

|Ken DeVries (CHP) 1,246 2.69%

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Essex

|Susan Whelan 17,926 34.95%

|Jeff Watson 18,755 36.57%

|David Tremblay 12,519 24.41%

|Paul Forman 1,981 3.86%

|Robert A. Cruise 105 0.20%

|Susan Whelan

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|London—Fanshawe

|Pat O'Brien 15,664 38.08%

|John Mazzilli 10,811 26.28%

|Irene Mathyssen 12,511 30.41%

|Ed Moore 1,634 3.97%

|Cameron Switzer 65 0.16%

|Derrall Bellaire (PC) 453 1.10%

|Pat O'Brien

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|London North Centre

|Joe Fontana 21,472 43.08%

|Tim Gatten 13,677 27.44%

|Joe Swan 12,034 24.14%

|Bronagh Joyce Morgan 2,376 4.77%

|Gustavo Granados-Ocon 67 0.13%

|Rod Morley (PC) 220 0.44%

|Joe Fontana

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|London West

|Sue Barnes 25,061 45.48%

|Mike Menear 17,335 31.46%

|Gina Barber 9,522 17.28%

|Rebecca Bromwich 2,611 4.74%

|Margaret Villamizar 67 0.12%

|Steve Hunter (PC) 511 0.93%

|Sue Barnes

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Middlesex—Kent—Lambton

|Rose-Marie Ur 19,452 39.73%

|Bev Shipley 19,288 39.39%

|Kevin Blake 7,376 15.06%

|Allan McKeown 1,834 3.75%

|Allan James (CHP) 1,015 2.07%

|Rose-Marie Ur

|rowspan=3 bgcolor=whitesmoke|Sarnia—Lambton

|rowspan=3 |

|rowspan=3 |Roger Gallaway 19,932 41.93%

|rowspan=3 |

|rowspan=3 |Marcel Beaubien 14,500 30.50%

|rowspan=3 |

|rowspan=3 |Greg Agar 7,764 16.33%

|rowspan=3 |

|rowspan=3 |Anthony Cramer 2,548 5.36%

|rowspan=3 |

|Dave Core (Ind.) 749 1.58%

|rowspan=3 |

|rowspan=3 |Roger Gallaway

|Gary De Boer (CHP) 1,819 3.83%

|John Elliott (Ind.) 229 0.48%

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Windsor—Tecumseh

|Rick Limoges 16,219 33.88%

|Rick Fuschi 9,827 20.53%

|Joe Comartin 20,037 41.85%

|Élizabeth Powles 1,613 3.37%

|Laura Chesnik 182 0.38%

|Joe Comartin

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Windsor West

|Richard Pollock 13,831 31.32%

|Jordan Katz 8,348 18.91%

|Brian Masse 20,297 45.97%

|Rob Spring 1,545 3.50%

|Enver Villamizar 134 0.30%

|Brian Masse

Northern Ontario

{| border="1" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="0" style="border-collapse: collapse"

|- bgcolor=gray

!width=100%|Profile & Notes

!colspan=2|Electoral History

|bgcolor=whitesmoke rowspan=8 valign=top|

Northern Ontario is traditionally a very Liberal area in Ontario, but with historically strong showings by the NDP. The Conservatives have only won a combined total of 9 seats in Northern Ontario since 1979, 4 of which in the very Conservative Parry Sound Muskoka. The NDP has consistently done well here, finishing either first or second, even if it means not winning seats. They are especially strong in Thunder Bay-Atikokan, Nickel Belt, and Sault Ste. Marie, but have also won seats in Kenora-Rainy River, Thunder Bay-Nipigon, and Timmins Chapleau. The only bad showing by the Liberals since 1979 came in 1984, where they still managed 3 of 12 seats winning in Algoma, Sudbury, and Cochrane despite a national Conservative landslide.

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|•••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|2004

|colspan=1 bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|••••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|2000

|colspan=1 bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|••••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1997

|colspan=1 bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|••••••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1993

|colspan=1 bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|••••••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1988

|colspan=1 bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|••••••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1984

|colspan=1 bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|••••••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1980

|colspan=1 bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|••••••••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1979

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Algoma—Manitoulin—Kapuskasing

|Brent St. Denis 14,276 40.94%

|Blaine Armstrong 8,093 23.21%

|Carol Hughes 11,051 31.69%

|Lindsay Killen 1,449 4.16%

|Brent St. Denis

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Kenora

|Roger Valley 8,563 36.23%

|Bill Brown 6,598 27.92%

|Susan Barclay 7,577 32.06%

|Carl Chaboyer 898 3.80%

|Bob Nault†

|rowspan=3 bgcolor=whitesmoke|Nickel Belt

|rowspan=3 |

|rowspan=3 |Raymond Bonin 17,188 42.41%

|rowspan=3 |

|rowspan=3 |Mike Dupont 7,628 18.82%

|rowspan=3 |

|rowspan=3 |Claude Gravelle 13,980 34.50%

|rowspan=3 |

|rowspan=3 |Steve Lafleur 1,031 2.54%

|Michel D. Ethier (Mar.) 430 1.06%

|rowspan=3 |

|rowspan=3 |Raymond Bonin

|Don Lavallee (Ind.) 217 0.54%

|Steve Rutchinski (M-L) 51 0.13%

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Nipissing—Timiskaming

|Anthony Rota 18,254 42.31%

|Al McDonald 16,001 37.09%

|Dave Fluri 7,354 17.05%

|Les Wilcox 1,329 3.08%

|Ross MacLean (CAP) 204 0.47%

|Bob Wood†

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Parry Sound-Muskoka

|Andy Mitchell 19,271 43.86%

|Keith Montgomery 15,970 36.35%

|Jo-Anne Marie Boulding 5,171 11.77%

|Glen Hodgson 3,524 8.02%

|Andy Mitchell

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Sault Ste. Marie

|Carmen Provenzano 15,760 36.55%

|Cameron Ross 9,969 23.12%

|Tony Martin 16,512 38.29%

|Julie Emmerson 814 1.89%

|Mike Taffarel (M-L) 67 0.16%

|Carmen Provenzano

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Sudbury

|Diane Marleau 18,914 44.19%

|Stephen L. Butcher 9,008 21.05%

|Gerry McIntaggart 12,781 29.86%

|Luke Norton 1,999 4.67%

|Dave Starbuck (M-L) 100 0.23%

|Diane Marleau

|rowspan=2 bgcolor=whitesmoke|Thunder Bay—Rainy River

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Ken Boshcoff 14,290 39.37%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |David Leskowski 9,559 26.33%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |John Rafferty 10,781 29.70%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Russ Aegard 856 2.36%

|Johannes Scheibler (CHP) 267 0.74%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Stan Dromisky†

|Doug Thompson (Mar.) 547 1.51%

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Thunder Bay—Superior North

|Joe Comuzzi 15,022 43.04%

|Bev Sarafin 7,394 21.18%

|Bruce Hyer 10,230 29.31%

|Carl Rose 1,614 4.62%

|Denis A. Carrière (Mar.) 645 1.85%

|Joe Comuzzi

|rowspan=3 bgcolor=whitesmoke|Timmins-James Bay

|rowspan=3|

|rowspan=3|Raymond Chénier 13,525 39.65%

|rowspan=3|

|rowspan=3|Andrew Van Oosten 5,682 16.66%

|rowspan=3 |

|rowspan=3 |Charlie Angus 14,138 41.45%

|rowspan=3|

|rowspan=3|Marsha Gail Kriss 767 2.25%

|rowspan=3|

|Réginald Bélair†

|colspan=2 align="center"|merged district

|Ben Serré†

Manitoba

125px|left Manitoba is traditionally split between the NDP, the Liberals, and the Conservatives. This is especially true in the city of Winnipeg where most Manitobans live. However, due to vote splitting in recent elections, neither the Progressive Conservatives or the Canadian Alliance/Reform Party have been able to win in Winnipeg. In rural Manitoba, the Liberals are usually shut out of elections (exception in 1993). Conservative support is normally in the more populous south, with NDP support in the sparsely populated north, which usually only means one seat.

Rural Manitoba

{| border="1" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="0" style="border-collapse: collapse"

|- bgcolor=gray

!width=100%|Profile & Notes

!colspan=2|Electoral History

|bgcolor=whitesmoke rowspan=8 valign=top|

Rural Manitoba is traditionally very Conservative, sith some NDP leanings. Vote splitting only effected this area in 1993, when the Liberals nearly swept the region, winning all but one seat. In 1997 they could keep one. The Progressive Conservatives did their best here, out of all of western Canada, winning the riding of Brandon-Souris in both 1997 and 2000. The NDP's strength lies in the riding of Churchill, in northern Manitoba where they have consistently won in.

|bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|2004

|colspan=1 bgcolor=darkgray align=right valign=center|••••••

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|2000

|bgcolor=darkgray valign=center|1997

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| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Brandon—Souris

|Murray Downing 8,522 24.21%

|Merv Tweed 18,209 51.72%

|Mike Abbey 6,740 19.15%

|David Kattenburg 1,264 3.59%

|Colin Atkins 351 1.00%

|Lisa Gallagher 118 0.34%

|Rick Borotsik†

| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Churchill

|Ron Evans 7,604 38.35%

|Bill Archer 2,999 15.13%

|Bev Desjarlais 8,612 43.44%

|C. David Nickarz 612 3.09%

|Bev Desjarlais

| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Dauphin—Swan River

|Don Dewar 6,809 20.38%

|Inky Mark 18,025 53.95%

|Walter Kolisnyk 7,341 21.97%

|Lindy Clubb 673 2.01%

|David C. Andres 560 1.68%

|Inky Mark

| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Portage—Lisgar

|Don Kuhl 6,174 17.74%

|Brian Pallister 22,939 65.93%

|Daren Van Den Bussche 3,251 9.34%

|Marc Payette 856 2.46%

|David Reimer 1,458 4.19%

|Allister Cucksey 117 0.34%

|Brian Pallister

| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Provencher

|Peter Epp 8,975 24.92%

|Vic Toews 22,694 63.02%

|Sarah Zaharia 3,244 9.01%

|Janine G. Gibson 1,100 3.05%

|Vic Toews

| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Selkirk—Interlake

|Bruce Benson 9,059 22.85%

|James Bezan 18,727 47.25%

|Duane Nicol 10,516 26.53%

|Trevor Farley 982 2.48%

|Anthony Barendregt 353 0.89%

|Howard Hilstrom†

Winnipeg

{| border="1" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="0" style="border-collapse: collapse"

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!colspan=2|Electoral History

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Winnipeg has traditionally been a three-way race between the NDP, the Conservatives and the Liberals. That ended in 1993, and since then nor the Progressive Conservatives or the Alliance/Reform Party have been able to win a seat here. Now that they are merged, their prospects look good to return Winnipeg once again into a three-way race.

Notes:

1 - formerly held by John Harvard

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| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Charleswood—St. James

|Glen Murray 17,954 42.55%

|Steven John Fletcher 18,688 44.29%

|Peter Carney 4,283 10.15%

|Andrew Basham 880 2.09%

|Beatriz Alas 49 0.12%

|Dan Zupansky 337 0.80%

|vacant1

| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Elmwood—Transcona

|Tanya Parks 4,923 16.81%

|Bryan McLeod 7,644 26.11%

|Bill Blaikie 15,221 51.99%

|Elijah Gair 719 2.46%

|Paul Sidon 74 0.25%

|Gavin Whittaker 311 1.06%

|Robert Scott (CHP) 386 1.32%

|Bill Blaikie

| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Kildonan—St. Paul

|Terry Duguid 13,304 36.54%

|Joy Smith 13,582 37.30%

|Lorene Mahoney 8,202 22.53%

|Jacob Giesbrecht 756 2.08%

|Rebecca Whittaker 290 0.80%

|Katharine Reimer (CHP) 278 0.76%

| colspan=2 style="text-align:center;" |new district

| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Saint Boniface

|Raymond Simard 17,989 46.61%

|Ken Cooper 11,956 30.98%

|Mathieu Allard 6,954 18.02%

|Daniel Backé 925 2.40%

|Gérard Guay 77 0.20%

|Chris Buors 317 0.82%

|Jeannine Moquin-Perry (CHP) 378 0.98%

|Raymond Simard

| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Winnipeg Centre

|David Northcott 9,285 34.69%

|Robert Eng 3,631 13.56%

|Pat Martin 12,149 45.39%

|Robin (Pilar) Faye 1,151 4.30%

|Anna-Celestrya Carr 114 0.43%

|John M. Siedleski 346 1.29%

|Douglas Edward Schweitzer (Ind.) 92 0.34%

|Pat Martin

|rowspan=3 style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Winnipeg North

|rowspan=3|

|rowspan=3|Rey D. Pagtakhan 9,491 36.55%

|rowspan=3|

|rowspan=3|Kris Stevenson 3,186 12.27%

|rowspan=3 |

|rowspan=3|Judy Wasylycia-Leis 12,507 48.16%

|rowspan=3|

|rowspan=3|Alon Weinberg 531 2.04%

|rowspan=3|

|rowspan=3|Darrell Rankin 111 0.43%

|rowspan=3|

|rowspan=3|Eric Truijen (CHP) 141 0.54%

|Rey Pagtakhan

| colspan=2 style="text-align:center;" |merged district

|Judy Wasylycia-Leis

| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Winnipeg South

|Reg Alcock 19,270 51.31%

|Rod Bruinooge 12,770 34.00%

|Catherine Green 4,217 11.23%

|Ron Cameron 1,003 2.67%

|Jane MacDiarmid (CHP) 296 0.79%

|Reg Alcock

| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Winnipeg South Centre

|Anita Neville 18,133 46.60%

|Raj Joshi 10,516 27.02%

|James Allum 8,270 21.25%

|Ian Scott 1,508 3.88%

|Andrew Dalgliesh 81 0.21%

|Andy Caisse 293 0.75%

|Magnus Thompson (CAP) 114 0.29%

|Anita Neville

Saskatchewan

125px|left In terms of party lines, Saskatchewan is not divided up between north and south but by urban and rural. Traditionally, Saskatchewan has been a two-way race between the Conservatives, and later the Reform/Alliance and the NDP. Recent vote splitting has allowed the Liberals to come through and win a few seats in this polarized province. Urban Saskatchewan has tended to vote NDP and rural Saskatchewan has tended to vote Conservative. This is especially true in provincial politics, where riding boundaries more reflect the urban/rural divide. Both Saskatoon and Regina, Saskatchewans largest cities are split into 4 ridings each. All eight of these ridings are generally split evenly between rural and urban. Northern Saskatchewan has in the past been the stand-alone region of rural Saskatchewan, usually voting for the NDP.

Southern Saskatchewan

{| border="1" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="0" style="border-collapse: collapse"

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Southern Saskatchewan is traditionally split between the NDP and the Conservatives. In 1993, the Reform Party came along, and stole most Conservative votes, but also made room for the Liberals to win seats here, and make the area a 3-way race.

Notes:

1 - Spencer formerly CA

2 - Devine's Conservative nomination blocked

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|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Cypress Hills—Grasslands

|Bill Caton 5,547 18.68%

|David Anderson 18,010 60.64%

|Jeff Potts 4,901 16.50%

|Bev Currie 1,243 4.19%

|David L. Anderson

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Palliser

|John Williams 8,244 24.82%

|Dave Batters 11,909 35.85%

|Dick Proctor 11,785 35.48%

|Brian Rands 829 2.50%

|Harold Stephan 451 1.36%

|Dick Proctor

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Regina—Lumsden—Lake Centre

|Gary Anderson 10,167 32.82%

|Tom Lukiwski 10,289 33.21%

|Moe Kovatch 8,300 26.79%

|Fiorindo Agi 716 2.31%

|Larry Spencer 1,506 4.86%

|Larry Spencer1

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Regina—Qu'Appelle

|Allyce Herle 7,793 27.84%

|Andrew Scheer 10,012 35.76%

|Lorne Edmund Nystrom 9,151 32.69%

|Deanna Robilliard 639 2.28%

|Mary Sylvia Nelson 293 1.05%

|Lorne Edward Widger (NA) 106 0.38%

|Lorne Nystrom

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Souris—Moose Mountain

|Lonny McKague 6,001 19.59%

|Ed Komarnicki 11,306 36.90%

|Robert Stephen Stringer 4,202 13.72%

|Sigfredo Gonzalez 537 1.75%

|Robert Thomas Jacobson 191 0.62%

|Grant Devine2 8,399 27.42%

|Roy Bailey†

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Wascana

|Ralph Goodale 20,567 57.17%

|Doug Cryer 8,709 24.21%

|Erin M. K. Weir 5,771 16.04%

|Darcy Robilliard 928 2.58%

|Ralph Goodale

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Yorkton—Melville

|Ted Quewezance 4,697 14.83%

|Gary Breitkreuz 19,940 62.94%

|Don Olson 5,890 18.59%

|Ralph Pilchner 630 1.99%

|David Sawkiw 524 1.65%

|Gary Breitkreuz

Northern Saskatchewan

{| border="1" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="0" style="border-collapse: collapse"

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Northern Saskatchewan has also been a traditional two-way race between the NDP and the Conservatives. The NDP with their strongest support in the riding of Churchill River. However, the most recent 2000 election saw this riding pass to the Liberals. More recent elections have seen the Reform/Canadian Alliance do extremely well here, and are expected to do just as well, or even better as the new Conservative Party.

Notes:

1 - Laliberte did not seek Liberal nomination

2 - Pankiw formerly CA

3 - Chris Axworthy was a former New Democrats MP and provincial cabinet minister

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|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Battlefords—Lloydminster

|Del Price 4,617 17.42%

|Gerry Ritz 15,441 58.25%

|Shawn McKee 5,367 20.25%

|Kelsey Pearson 766 2.89%

|Diane Stephan (CHP) 316 1.19%

|Gerry Ritz

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Blackstrap

|Tiffany Paulsen 11,815 31.40%

|Lynne Yelich 15,608 41.48%

|Don Kossick 8,862 23.55%

|Lynn Oliphant 1,168 3.10%

|Clayton A. Sundberg (CHP) 177 0.47%

|Lynne Yelich

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Churchill River

|Al Ducharme 5,815 29.87%

|Jeremy Harrison 7,279 37.39%

|Earl Cook 3,910 20.09%

|Marcella Gall 539 2.77%

|Rick Laliberte (Ind.) 1,923 9.88%

|Rick Laliberte1

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Prince Albert

|Patrick W. Jahn 6,929 24.13%

|Brian Fitzpatrick 13,576 47.28%

|Don Hovdebo 7,221 25.15%

|Marc Loiselle 987 3.44%

|Brian Fitzpatrick

|rowspan=2 bgcolor=whitesmoke|Saskatoon—Humboldt

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Patrick Wolfe 9,009 25.52%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Bradley R. Trost 9,444 26.75%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Nettie Wiebe 9,027 25.57%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Ron Schriml 680 1.93%

|Jim Pankiw (Ind.) 7,076 20.04%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Jim Pankiw2

|Larry Zarysky (NA) 71 0.20%

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Saskatoon—Rosetown—Biggar

|Myron Luczka 4,171 15.75%

|Carol Skelton 11,875 44.84%

|Dennis Gruending 9,597 36.24%

|Rick Barsky 841 3.18%

|Carol Skelton

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Saskatoon—Wanuskewin

|Chris Axworthy3 10,553 32.58%

|Maurice Vellacott 15,109 46.64%

|Priscilla Settee 5,770 17.81%

|David Greenfield 960 2.96%

|Maurice Vellacott

Alberta

125px|left Alberta is unarguably the most Conservative province in Canada. You need only look at the results of the ridings here in the last century to prove this. Alberta has long been a Progressive Conservative province, but with the collapse of the party in 1993, Albertans went to the Reform Party of Canada (later the Canadian Alliance) for their vote. Edmonton seems to be the only exception to this. The Liberals have won in Edmonton six times since 1993, and the NDP has won in Edmonton as well.

Rural Alberta

{| border="1" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="0" style="border-collapse: collapse"

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!colspan=2|Electoral History

|bgcolor=whitesmoke rowspan=8 valign=top|This region is unarguably the most Conservative region in Canada. One may only have to look at the election results from the last 70 years to prove it. The Progressive Conservative Party of Canada did not lose a single seat in rural Alberta from 1972 until the party's collapse of 1993. Instead a new right wing party, the Reform Party of Canada took over and swept rural Alberta in the next two elections. They did the same under the Canadian Alliance banner in 2000. It is unlikely any other party will win here in 2004.

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|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Athabasca

|Doug Faulkner 7,158 24.05%

|Brian Jean 17,942 60.30%

|Robert Cree 3,115 10.47%

|Ian Hopfe 1,542 5.18%

|colspan=2 align="center"|new district

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Crowfoot

|Adam Campbell 3,615 7.70%

|Kevin Sorenson 37,649 80.21%

|Ellen Parker 3,241 6.90%

|Arnold Baker 1,795 3.82%

|Max Leonard Cornelssen (Mar.) 639 1.36%

|Kevin Sorenson

|rowspan=2 bgcolor=whitesmoke|Lethbridge

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Ken Nicol 10,250 21.56%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Rick Casson 29,765 62.62%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Melanee Thomas 4,623 9.73%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Erin Marie Matthews 1,262 2.66%

|Dustin Sobie (Mar.) 553 1.16%

|rowspan=2 |

|rowspan=2 |Rick Casson

|Ken Vanden Broek (CHP) 1,079 2.27%

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Macleod

|Chris Shade 5,214 12.09%

|Ted Menzies 32,232 74.76%

|Joyce Thomas 2,802 6.50%

|Laurel Denise Fadeeff 2,865 6.65%

|Grant Hill†

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Medicine Hat

|Bill Cocks 4,331 10.91%

|Monte Kenton Solberg 30,241 76.15%

|Betty Stroh 3,643 9.17%

|Kevin Dodd 1,498 3.77%

|Monte Solberg

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Peace River

|Lyle Carlstrom 8,200 18.97%

|Charlie Penson 28,158 65.13%

|Susan Thompson 4,804 11.11%

|Benjamin Morrison Pettit 2,073 4.79%

|Charlie Penson

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Red Deer

|Luke Kurata 5,294 11.82%

|Bob Mills 33,510 74.80%

|Jeff Sloychuk 3,500 7.81%

|Garfield John Marks 2,142 4.78%

|Teena Cormack (CAP) 353 0.79%

|Bob Mills

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Vegreville—Wainwright

|Duff Stewart 5,390 11.73%

|Leon E. Benoit 33,800 73.54%

|Len Legault 3,793 8.25%

|James Kenney 2,976 6.48%

|Leon Benoit

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Westlock—St. Paul

|Joe Dion 7,619 19.26%

|Dave Chatters 26,433 66.80%

|Peggy Kirkeby 3,480 8.79%

|John A. McDonald 2,036 5.15%

|David Chatters

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Wetaskiwin

|Rick Bonnett 5,088 11.93%

|Dale Johnston 31,404 73.66%

|Tim Robson 3,090 7.25%

|Tom Lampman 2,642 6.20%

|Brent McKelvie (CAP) 410 0.96%

|Dale Johnston

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Wild Rose

|Judy Stewart 5,971 12.64%

|Myron Thompson 33,337 70.60%

|Jeff Horvath 4,009 8.49%

|Chris Foote 3,904 8.27%

|Myron Thompson

|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Yellowhead

|Peter Crossley 4,441 11.50%

|Rob Merrifield 26,503 68.61%

|Noel Lapierre 4,429 11.47%

|Eric Stieglitz 2,534 6.56%

|Jacob Strydhorst (CHP) 721 1.87%

|Rob Merrifield

Edmonton and environs

{| class="wikitable" align="right"

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Edmonton is the most left wing area of Alberta, but this doesn't say much. Much like the rest of Alberta, Edmonton usually always votes for the leading right wing party of the day. This is the one area of Alberta where the Liberals have been able to win anything in recent years, winning two seats in both 1997 and 2000, and four seats in 1993. The NDP have also won a seat in Edmonton, doing so in 1988. The two Liberal incumbents are both in close races, and the new Conservative Party of Canada could possibly sweep Edmonton, and therefore all of Alberta.

Calgary

{| class="wikitable" align="right"

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Calgary, the largest city in Alberta is just as Conservative as rural Alberta. The Progressive Conservatives swept Calgary until 1993, then it was the Reform Party in 1993 and 1997, then the Canadian Alliance in 2000. The one abnormal seat was when Progressive Conservative Party leader Joe Clark won the riding of Calgary Centre in 2000. It is expected the Conservatives will once again sweep Calgary in 2004.

British Columbia

left|150px British Columbia is what many pundits consider to be the complete opposite of a bellwether region. British Columbia has a history of voting against the government. This has meant the NDP in the 1980s and the Reform/Canadian Alliance in the 1990s. More recently, regional trends have started to appear in B.C. The interior votes very Conservative, as the Canadian Alliance swept this area in 2000. B.C. has in the past been a province that would swing from one extreme to the other going for the right wing Social Credit to the left wing NDP in the past, in not only federal elections but provincial elections. The NDP also does well in British Columbia, or at least has in the past. Recently, they have been reduced to seats in the Vancouver area. There is hope that they will return to more traditional NDP seats on Vancouver Island, and in the interior. The Liberals have also won a few seats in B.C. recently, an area they have traditionally done very poor. Their strengths are in Victoria and in Vancouver.

2004 federal redistribution

Candidates and ridings

Newfoundland and Labrador

Prince Edward Island

Nova Scotia

New Brunswick

Quebec

Eastern Quebec

Côte-Nord and Saguenay

Quebec City

Central Quebec

Eastern Townships

Montérégie

Eastern Montreal

Western Montreal

Northern Montreal and Laval

Laurentides, Outaouais and Northern Quebec

Ontario

Ottawa

Eastern Ontario

Central Ontario

Southern Durham and York

Central Toronto

Suburban Toronto

Brampton, Mississauga and Oakville

Hamilton, Burlington and Niagara

Midwestern Ontario

Southwestern Ontario

Northern Ontario

Manitoba

Rural Manitoba

Winnipeg

Saskatchewan

Southern Saskatchewan

Northern Saskatchewan

Alberta

Rural Alberta

Edmonton and environs

Calgary

British Columbia

Interior B.C.

Fraser Valley and Southern Lower Mainland

Vancouver and Northern Lower Mainland

Vancouver Island

Nunavut

Northwest Territories

Yukon

See also

Notes

Sources